Large XRP holders seem to have gone quiet: their fund inflows to Binance have fallen to 2021 levels — just 61 million dollars on average over three months. For comparison, in January 2025, this figure reached 456 million. Such market silence is usually interpreted as an absence of immediate selling pressure, but it could also mean an absence of fresh buyers.
The token's price is fluctuating around one dollar, having lost about 3,2 percent over the week. Market capitalization holds in the region of 62,8 billion dollars with a daily trading volume of nearly 900 million. Technical indicators do not yet provide a clear signal: the daily RSI at 36 indicates weak momentum, and the price remains below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands.
A decrease in whale deposits to the exchange is traditionally considered a positive factor — fewer coins are ready for immediate sale. However, analysts note: the net inflow is still positive and amounts to about 18,8 million dollars. This means that large transfers to the exchange still exceed withdrawals, but the overall volume of activity has dropped sharply along with market turnover.
On the four-hour chart, XRP has formed a narrowing wedge where the trading range is compressing. An upward breakout from the 1,024 dollar level could open the path to 1,055 and higher, however, confirmation requires an increase in volume and the money flow indicator moving into positive territory. For now, capital continues to lean towards sellers.
The liquidation map shows clusters of positions above the current price — between 1,02 and 1,05 dollars. Such zones often attract the price, provoking a cascade of short position closures. At the same time, losing the 0,986 dollar level could accelerate the downward movement toward 0,95.
The situation resembles a river where large boulders have stopped rolling down from the bank: the current has slowed, but this does not mean the water will suddenly rush in the opposite direction. Without an influx of new demand from retail and institutional participants, the reduction in selling pressure remains only half the picture.
For those holding XRP or considering entry, the key question now is not the absence of sales, but the emergence of sustained buying interest. Until it manifests in volume and technical confirmations, any rebound risks being a temporary correction within a wider sideways trend.
