Philippine Banks Anticipate Loan Surge Amid Rate Cuts

The Philippine banking sector is poised for increased demand in real estate loans as the Monetary Board continues its easing cycle. Jason C. Valderrama, President and CEO of JCV & Associates, indicated that further interest rate cuts would likely stimulate loan applications.

As of December 2023, banks and trust entities' exposure to the property sector decreased slightly to 20.17% from 20.55% in the previous quarter. However, investments and loans to the property sector rose by 4.3% to P3.15 trillion.

Governor Eli M. Remolona, Jr. of Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) confirmed that the Monetary Board plans to continue reducing interest rates in increments of 25 basis points, though a pause may occur at the December meeting. Since August, the BSP has lowered rates by a total of 50 basis points, bringing the policy rate to 6%.

Looking ahead to 2025, JCVA is optimistic, projecting a revenue growth of 50-60%, with over 60% of projects stemming from existing clients. Key growth areas include logistics, healthcare, and tourism, with plans for an 11-hectare sorting center in Cavite and an eight-megawatt hyperscale data center in Quezon City.

Valderrama noted the increasing importance of digital solutions in construction, highlighting the use of Building Information Modeling and AI-powered platforms for real-time project monitoring. Compliance with green certifications, such as WELL and LEED, is also becoming essential for clients.

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